MLB: AL Manager of the Year

Polymarket Baseball › MLB Closes Dec 31 · $1.5K today · $107K traded · $6.6K at stake · prices read 8 min ago

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The odds

99%Will Venable
  • Will Venable99%
  • Kevin Cash<1%
  • Chad Tracy<1%
  • Aaron Boone<1%
  • Alex Cora<1%
  • A.J. Hinch<1%
  • Craig Albernaz<1%
  • Dan Wilson<1%
  • Derek Shelton<1%
  • Joe Espada<1%
  • John Schneider<1%
  • Kurt Suzuki<1%
4 more
  • Mark Kotsay<1%
  • Matt Quatraro<1%
  • Skip Schumaker<1%
  • Stephen Vogt<1%

How the odds have moved

Will Venable: 79% on Oct 20, 99% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Why it moved

  1. Oct 23, 11 PM ETWill Venable: 94% → 87%

    No headline about it in the hours around this move.

The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Traded
Will Venable 99% 98¢ 100¢ $25K
Kevin Cash <1% 0¢ 0¢ $29.9K
Chad Tracy <1% 0¢ 0¢ $2.7K
Aaron Boone <1% 0¢ $2.2K
Alex Cora <1% 0¢ $19.5K
A.J. Hinch <1% 0¢ $1.8K
Craig Albernaz <1% 0¢ $4.1K
Dan Wilson <1% 0¢ $7K
Derek Shelton <1% 0¢ $3K
Joe Espada <1% 0¢ $1.1K
John Schneider <1% 0¢ $1K
Kurt Suzuki <1% 0¢ $897
Mark Kotsay <1% 0¢ $2.6K
Matt Quatraro <1% 0¢ $802
Skip Schumaker <1% 0¢ $1.9K
Stephen Vogt <1% 0¢ $3.6K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: AL Manager, Will Venable, Kevin Cash

Search ›
  • Boston Red Sox All-Star First Baseman Weighs In On Offseason NeedsYahoo Sports · 10 days agoRedSoxRoundtable's Zach Coe discusses Red Sox All-Star first baseman Willson Contreras' comments in the Boston Globe about the Red Sox offseason needs. Be sure to join our FREE community over on RedSoxRoundtable.com! Whether it's his…
  • Three Quick Takeaways After Oklahoma was Demolished by South CarolinaOklahoma Sooners On SI · 9 days agoNORMAN — South Carolina turned Gaylord Family-Oklahoma Memorial Stadium into a Halloween house of horrors. The Sooners were run off their home field 42-25 by the Gamecocks for the second time in the last three seasons, and Brent Venables…
  • Oklahoma's Strength Becomes a Weakness in Loss to South CarolinaOklahoma Sooners On SI · 9 days agoNORMAN — Oklahoma linebacker Owen Heinecke was succinct in his summation of the Sooners' 42-25 loss to South Carolina on Saturday at Gaylord Family — Oklahoma Memorial Stadium. Sooners coach Brent Venables' assessment was similar. "We…
  • Oklahoma-South Carolina OU Stock Report: See Who's Up, Who's DownOklahoma Sooners On SI · 9 days agoOklahoma followed a familiar path on Saturday — the same path that continues to take Sooner Nation to rock bottom. For the second time in three years, OU was blown out at home by middling South Carolina, this time a 42-25 defeat on soggy…
  • Predicting which MLB team will be the next to win its first World SeriesYahoo Sports · 10 days agoIt took nearly 60 years, but the Milwaukee Brewers are finally World Series champions. Despite losing ace Jacob Misiorowski to a right calf cramp on Wednesday night, the Brew Crew held on for a 4-1 victory over the Tampa Bay Rays. But hope…
  • Oklahoma Fans Have Had Enough Of Brent Venables After Blowout Loss vs. South CarolinaYahoo Sports · 9 days agoAfter today's loss and now at 4-4 on the season, Oklahoma can comfortably kiss the College Football Playoff goodbye. But while it's forgivable to get crushed by an elite program like Georgia or by one score to a team on the ascent like…
  • Oklahoma is unraveling. Here’s the massive price of firing Brent VenablesYahoo Sports · 9 days agoOklahoma football, a preseason top-10 ranked team in the US LBM Coaches Poll, was dominated by South Carolina on Saturday, Oct. 31, falling 42-25 in a game that was more out of reach than the score suggested. Fifth-year coach Brent…
  • Brent Venables Buyout: What Would It Cost Oklahoma To Fire Its Football Coach?FOX Sports · 9 days agoThings aren't looking great in Norman, Oklahoma this college football season, and Brent Venables' seat is heating way up. After falling to South Carolina at home in Week 9, the Sooners are 4-4 overall and 2-3 in the SEC, and that's a far…
  • Changes could be coming at Oklahoma after offense struggles again in loss to S. CarolinaYahoo Sports · 9 days agoNORMAN, Okla. -- A shakeup could be coming at Oklahoma. I have often said history repeats itself. The last time the Sooners removed a high-level offensive coach during the season was in 2024. Venables replaced offensive coordinator Seth…
  • Nick Martinez Becomes Free Agent After Career Year With Tampa Bay RaysYahoo Sports · 10 days agoThe Tampa Bay Rays will have some difficult decisions to make this offseason, especially when it comes to their pitching staff. And one of those decisions involves a player who made a significant impact both on and off the field throughout…
  • 2026 MLB World Series Game 4: Oct 28, 2026FOX Sports · 10 days agoSee how Brewers vs. Rays ended on October 27, 2026: final score, box score, top performers and highlights. 2026 MLB World Series Game 4: Oct 28, 2026 Rays Avoid Sweep! Jeter, Big Papi & A-Rod Break Down NAIL-BITING Game 4 vs Brewers Rays’…
  • 2026-2027 MLB Offseason CalendarYahoo Sports · 11 days agoRichie Palacios' weak ground ball to secondbase officially ended the season for the Tampa Bay Rays and thus begins the months long offseason as team works to prepare its roster for the 2027 season. The day after the World Series ended…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Baseball. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Baseball, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Baseball index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Baseball Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions