MLB Postseason: World Series MVP

Polymarket Baseball › MLB Closes Nov 15 · $18.9K today · $61.1K traded · $6.5K at stake · prices read 12 days ago

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The odds

99%William Contreras
  • William Contreras99%▲ 68
  • Jacob Misiorowski<1%▼ 2
  • Blake Snell<1%
  • Wilyer Abreu<1%
  • Colson Montgomery<1%
  • Jose Altuve<1%
  • Tyler Glasnow<1%
  • Kyle Tucker<1%
  • Chandler Simpson<1%▼ 1
  • Drew Rasmussen<1%▼ 1
  • Jonathan Aranda<1%▼ 2
  • Junior Caminero<1%
45 more
  • Nick Martinez<1%▼ 1
  • Yandy Díaz<1%▼ 2
  • Aaron Judge<1%
  • Cam Schlittler<1%
  • Cody Bellinger<1%
  • Gerrit Cole<1%
  • Max Fried<1%
  • Jarren Duran<1%
  • Ranger Suarez<1%
  • Sonny Gray<1%
  • Willson Contreras<1%
  • José Ramírez<1%
  • Parker Messick<1%
  • Tanner Bibee<1%
  • Travis Bazzana<1%
  • Miguel Vargas<1%
  • Munetaka Murakami<1%
  • Sam Antonacci<1%
  • Christian Walker<1%
  • Hunter Brown<1%
  • Isaac Paredes<1%
  • Jeremy Peña<1%
  • Peter Lambert<1%
  • Yordan Alvarez<1%
  • Chris Sale<1%
  • Drake Baldwin<1%
  • Matt Olson<1%
  • Michael Harris II<1%
  • Bryce Harper<1%
  • Kyle Schwarber<1%
  • Trea Turner<1%
  • Zack Wheeler<1%
  • Brice Turang<1%▼ 1
  • Jackson Chourio<1%▼ 42
  • Alex Bregman<1%
  • Pete Crow-Armstrong<1%
  • Seiya Suzuki<1%
  • Shota Imanaga<1%
  • Freddie Freeman<1%
  • Mookie Betts<1%
  • Shohei Ohtani<1%
  • Tarik Skubal<1%
  • Yoshinobu Yamamoto<1%
  • Fernando Tatis Jr.<1%
  • Manny Machado<1%

How the odds have moved

William Contreras: 11% on Oct 20, 99% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Why it moved

  1. Oct 28, 11 PM ETWilliam Contreras: 53% → 88%
  2. Oct 21, 8 PM ETWilliam Contreras: 15% → 8%

The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Traded
William Contreras 99% ▲ 68 99¢ 100¢ $19K
Jacob Misiorowski <1% ▼ 2 1¢ $9.5K
Blake Snell <1% 0¢ 1¢ $343
Wilyer Abreu <1% 0¢ 0¢ $821
Colson Montgomery <1% 0¢ 0¢ $772
Jose Altuve <1% 0¢ 0¢ $604
Tyler Glasnow <1% 1¢ $433
Kyle Tucker <1% 0¢ $1.1K
Chandler Simpson <1% ▼ 1 0¢ $376
Drew Rasmussen <1% ▼ 1 0¢ $397
Jonathan Aranda <1% ▼ 2 0¢ $456
Junior Caminero <1% 0¢ $5.1K
Nick Martinez <1% ▼ 1 0¢ $449
Yandy Díaz <1% ▼ 2 0¢ $1.1K
Aaron Judge <1% 0¢ $109
Cam Schlittler <1% 0¢ $183
Cody Bellinger <1% 0¢ $469
Gerrit Cole <1% 0¢ $103
Max Fried <1% 0¢ $270
Jarren Duran <1% 0¢ $83
Ranger Suarez <1% 0¢ $574
Sonny Gray <1% 0¢ $83
Willson Contreras <1% 0¢ $83
José Ramírez <1% 0¢ $459
Parker Messick <1% 0¢ $192
Tanner Bibee <1% 0¢ $451
Travis Bazzana <1% 0¢ $434
Miguel Vargas <1% 0¢ $384
Munetaka Murakami <1% 0¢ $397
Sam Antonacci <1% 0¢ $491
Christian Walker <1% 0¢ $83
Hunter Brown <1% 0¢ $83
Isaac Paredes <1% 0¢ $83
Jeremy Peña <1% 0¢ $501
Peter Lambert <1% 0¢ $83
Yordan Alvarez <1% 0¢ $55
Chris Sale <1% 0¢ $33
Drake Baldwin <1% 0¢ $83
Matt Olson <1% 0¢ $180
Michael Harris II <1% 0¢ $103
Bryce Harper <1% 0¢ $83
Kyle Schwarber <1% 0¢ $83
Trea Turner <1% 0¢ $83
Zack Wheeler <1% 0¢ $193
Brice Turang <1% ▼ 1 0¢ $1.6K
Jackson Chourio <1% ▼ 42 0¢ $8.5K
Alex Bregman <1% 0¢ $55
Pete Crow-Armstrong <1% 0¢ $55
Seiya Suzuki <1% 0¢ $83
Shota Imanaga <1% 0¢ $83
Freddie Freeman <1% 0¢ $75
Mookie Betts <1% 0¢ $155
Shohei Ohtani <1% 0¢ $2.8K
Tarik Skubal <1% 0¢ $133
Yoshinobu Yamamoto <1% 0¢ $413
Fernando Tatis Jr. <1% 0¢ $123
Manny Machado <1% 0¢ $83

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: World Series, World Series MVP, MLB Postseason

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Baseball. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Baseball, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Baseball index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Baseball Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions