MLB: NL Rookie of the Year

Polymarket Baseball › MLB Closes Dec 31 · $6.6K today · $1.2M traded · $29.5K at stake · prices read 19 min ago

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The odds

>99%Sal Stewart
  • Sal Stewart>99%▲ 1
  • Nolan McLean<1%
  • Konnor Griffin<1%
  • JJ Wetherholt<1%
  • Bubba Chandler<1%
  • Carson Benge<1%▼ 1
  • Moises Ballesteros<1%
  • Owen Caissie<1%
  • Justin Crawford<1%
  • Andrew Painter<1%
  • Didier Fuentes<1%
  • Bryce Eldridge<1%
12 more
  • Rhett Lowder<1%
  • Jett Williams<1%
  • Ryan Waldschmidt<1%
  • Jonah Tong<1%
  • Logan Henderson<1%
  • Robby Snelling<1%
  • Charlie Condon<1%
  • Zac Veen<1%
  • TJ Rumfield<1%
  • Esmerlyn Valdez<1%
  • A.J. Ewing<1%
  • Joshua Baez<1%

How the odds have moved

Sal Stewart: 83% on Oct 20, >99% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Why it moved

  1. Oct 29, 11 PM ETSal Stewart: 80% → 90%

    No headline about it in the hours around this move.

  2. Oct 21, 7 PM ETSal Stewart: 59% → 71%

    No headline about it in the hours around this move.

The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Traded
Sal Stewart >99% ▲ 1 100¢ 100¢ $125K
Nolan McLean <1% 0¢ $15.7K
Konnor Griffin <1% 0¢ $23.1K
JJ Wetherholt <1% 0¢ $51.8K
Bubba Chandler <1% 0¢ $125K
Carson Benge <1% ▼ 1 0¢ $40K
Moises Ballesteros <1% 0¢ $2.8K
Owen Caissie <1% 0¢ $565K
Justin Crawford <1% 0¢ $2.3K
Andrew Painter <1% 0¢ $1K
Didier Fuentes <1% 0¢ $201K
Bryce Eldridge <1% 0¢ $7.9K
Rhett Lowder <1% 0¢ $1.5K
Jett Williams <1% 0¢ $1.5K
Ryan Waldschmidt <1% 0¢ $832
Jonah Tong <1% 0¢ $775
Logan Henderson <1% 0¢ $2.5K
Robby Snelling <1% 0¢ $960
Charlie Condon <1% 0¢ $687
Zac Veen <1% 0¢ $1.9K
TJ Rumfield <1% 0¢ $4K
Esmerlyn Valdez <1% 0¢ $231
A.J. Ewing <1% 0¢ $3.2K
Joshua Baez <1% 0¢ $251

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: NL Rookie, Sal Stewart, Nolan McLean

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No recent headlines name this market's subject.

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Baseball. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Baseball, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Baseball index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Baseball Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions