MLB Postseason: Home Run Leader

Polymarket Baseball › MLB Closes Nov 15 · $995 today · $12.9K traded · $874 at stake · prices read 12 days ago

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The odds

80%Ben Rice
  • Ben Rice80%▼ 13
  • Angel Martínez9%▼ 12
  • Jo Adell5%▲ 1
  • Junior Caminero4%
  • Jackson Chourio2%
  • Yandy Díaz<1%▼ 4
  • Jake Bauers<1%▼ 3
  • Jonathan Aranda<1%▼ 2

How the odds have moved

Ben Rice: 55% on Oct 20, 80% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Why it moved

  1. Oct 27, 11 PM ETBen Rice: 61% → 87%
  2. Oct 21, 8 PM ETBen Rice: 47% → 36%

The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Traded
Ben Rice 80% ▼ 13 66¢ 100¢ $6.2K
Angel Martínez 9% ▼ 12 18¢ $5.56 $93
Jo Adell 5% ▲ 1 10¢ $10.00 $324
Junior Caminero 4% 9¢ $11.36 $169
Jackson Chourio 2% 5¢ $20.83 $766
Yandy Díaz <1% ▼ 4 1¢ $100.00 $572
Jake Bauers <1% ▼ 3 0¢ $1.3K
Jonathan Aranda <1% ▼ 2 0¢ $735
Matt Olson <1% ▼ 10 1¢ $100.00 $60
Luis García Jr. <1% ▼ 19 1¢ $100.00 $65
Shohei Ohtani <1% ▼ 7 0¢ $307
Max Muncy <1% ▼ 38 1¢ $100.00 $374
Willson Contreras <1% ▼ 13 1¢ $100.00 $60
Michael Harris II <1% ▼ 10 1¢ $100.00 $60
Wilyer Abreu <1% ▼ 19 1¢ $100.00 $60
Drake Baldwin <1% ▼ 13 1¢ $100.00 $60
Mookie Betts <1% ▼ 15 0¢ $704
Aaron Judge <1% ▼ 14 1¢ $100.00 $60
Pete Crow-Armstrong <1% ▼ 4 19¢ $5.26 $60
Munetaka Murakami <1% ▼ 14 0¢ $146
Miguel Vargas <1% ▼ 14 0¢ $125
Colson Montgomery <1% ▼ 19 0¢ $125
Manny Machado <1% ▼ 13 1¢ $100.00 $60
Alex Bregman <1% ▼ 14 1¢ $100.00 $60
Jackson Merrill <1% ▼ 14 1¢ $100.00 $60
Seiya Suzuki <1% ▼ 13 1¢ $100.00 $60
Fernando Tatis Jr. <1% ▼ 16 0¢ $150
Ian Happ <1% ▼ 14 1¢ $100.00 $60

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Home Run Leader, MLB Postseason, Ben Rice

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  • Yankees Have a Ben Rice Headache Due to Proposed MLB RuleHEAVY · 10 h agoThe New York Yankees will be significantly impacted if a proposed rule change goes into effect. At the moment, general manager Brian Cashman has several key free agents set to hit the open market. This list includes David Bednar and Jazz…
  • Yankees news: Could Ben Rice return to catcher in 2027?ClutchPoints · 2 days agoWill the Yankees consider having Ben Rice return to the catcher position in 2027? A reporter recently addressed the idea. Bryan Hoch of MLB.com recently published an article that looked at areas of the lineup where the Yankees can improve…
  • Welbyn Francisca Top Cleveland Guardians Switch-Hit Prospect (Ever?)Forbes · 6 h agoWatch shortstop Welbyn Francisca in a Cleveland Guardians uniform hit from either side of the plate and you immediately think of Francisco Lindor. Before the 2026 Arizona Fall League Fall Stars game, I asked the 20-year-old prospect who…
  • Girlfriend Of Beloved New York Yankees Star Sends Out Heartfelt PostHEAVY · 35 h agoThe New York Yankees are coming off a strong regular season where they won 93 games. One of the biggest reasons for their success was the play of All-Star Ben Rice. He finished the season batting .264 with 151 hits, 41 home runs, 97 RBIs…
  • New York Yankees Owing $23 Million to 2x All-Star Could be Bad NewsHEAVY · 33 h agoThe New York Yankees are working on a trade with the San Diego Padres involving first baseman Ben Rice. No deal has come together yet because of New York’s demands. The front office wants infielder Rosman Verdugo to be included in the…
  • Mets Helped Define MLB Postseason With Their Deadline DealsYahoo Sports · 3 days agoWhen the New York Mets cleaned house at the trade deadline they were nowhere near contention, but that didn't stop them from playing a big role in postseason baseball. Johnny Flores Jr. of The Athletic did a review ranking the deals at the…
  • Confirmed Man United XI vs Aston Villathepeoplesperson.com · 46 h agoManchester United host Aston Villa this evening looking for only their second Premier League victory of the season. For a brief couple of minutes this afternoon, United found themselves bottom of the league. Here is the confirmed line-up…
  • Column | The top 10 most memorable moments of the 2026 MLB PostseasonThe Pitt News · 4 days agoMajor League Baseball’s month-long sprint of a postseason concluded Wednesday night, when the Milwaukee Brewers defeated the Tampa Bay Rays to win their first World Series title in franchise history. Let’s look back at the 10 most…
  • 4 things to listen for at the 2026 MLB GM meetings in Las VegasYardbarker · 3 days agoI'm going to Las Vegas on Monday for Major League Baseball's general managers meetings, and I'm going with a simple question: Does anybody in this sport actually want to do anything before Dec. 1? So far, the answer looks like no. The…
  • 2026 Fall College Baseball Reset: BaylorNew Baseball Media · 3 days agoLast season was a whirlwind for the Baylor Bears. First baseman Tyce Armstrong kicked off the year with three grand slams in the first game, part of what was a big season for him. However, Baylor only finished with an overall record of…
  • Bebé completes CD Teruel move 16 years after £7.4m Manchester United transferthepeoplesperson.com · 3 days agoFormer Manchester United attacker Bebé has officially joined Spanish club CD Teruel for the remainder of the 2026/27 season. Bebé joined Ibiza in February 2025 after mutually terminating his Racing Ferrol contract, only five months after…
  • Where can the Yankees improve the lineup?MLB.com · 3 days agoNEW YORK -- A month has passed since the Yankees’ season ended with Trent Grisham swinging through a third strike in Game 3 of the American League Division Series against the Rays, leaving their most dangerous available hitter on deck. Ben…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Baseball. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Baseball, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Baseball index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Baseball Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions