NL Manager of the Year Winner (2026 season)

Kalshi Baseball › MLB Closes Dec 8 · $1.7K today · $175K traded · $109K at stake · prices read 9 min ago

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The odds

99%Pat Murphy
  • Pat Murphy99%
  • Torey Lovullo<1%
  • Walt Weiss<1%▼ 1
  • Craig Counsell<1%
  • Terry Francona<1%
  • Warren Schaeffer<1%
  • Dave Roberts<1%
  • Clayton McCullough<1%
  • Carlos Mendoza<1%
  • Rob Thomson<1%
  • Don Kelly<1%
  • Oliver Marmol<1%
5 more
  • Craig Stammen<1%
  • Tony Vitello<1%
  • Blake Butera<1%
  • Tie/Co-Winners<1%
  • Don Mattingly<1%▼ 1

How the odds have moved

Pat Murphy: 83% on Oct 20, 99% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Why it moved

  1. Oct 21, 7 PM ETPat Murphy: 84% → 75%

The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Pat Murphy 99% 99¢ $1.01 171.8K
Torey Lovullo <1% 1¢ $100.00 13.3K
Walt Weiss <1% ▼ 1 1¢ $100.00 213.6K
Craig Counsell <1% 1¢ $100.00 68.1K
Terry Francona <1% 1¢ $100.00 8.8K
Warren Schaeffer <1% 1¢ $100.00 244
Dave Roberts <1% 1¢ $100.00 10.4K
Clayton McCullough <1% 1¢ $100.00 47.7K
Carlos Mendoza <1% 1¢ $100.00 3.1K
Rob Thomson <1% 1¢ $100.00 3.8K
Don Kelly <1% 1¢ $100.00 20.5K
Oliver Marmol <1% 1¢ $100.00 25.9K
Craig Stammen <1% 1¢ $100.00 21.6K
Tony Vitello <1% 1¢ $100.00 2.4K
Blake Butera <1% 1¢ $100.00 20.4K
Tie/Co-Winners <1% 1¢ $100.00 10.00
Don Mattingly <1% ▼ 1 1¢ $100.00 63.5K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: NL Manager, Pat Murphy, Torey Lovullo

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Baseball. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Baseball, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Baseball index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Baseball Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions