AL MVP Winner (2026 season)

Kalshi Baseball › MLB Closes Dec 8 · $2K today · $69K traded · $465K at stake · prices read 9 min ago

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The odds

99%Yordan Álvarez
  • Yordan Álvarez99%
  • Aaron Judge<1%
  • Bobby Witt Jr.<1%
  • Cal Raleigh<1%
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr.<1%
  • Gunnar Henderson<1%
  • Julio Rodríguez<1%
  • Nick Kurtz<1%
  • José Ramírez<1%
  • Roman Anthony<1%
  • Junior Caminero<1%
  • Pete Alonso<1%
37 more
  • Jeremy Peña<1%
  • Corey Seager<1%
  • Carlos Correa<1%
  • Cody Bellinger<1%
  • Zach Neto<1%
  • Wyatt Langford<1%
  • Byron Buxton<1%
  • Alejandro Kirk<1%
  • Adley Rutschman<1%
  • Jo Adell<1%
  • Tarik Skubal<1%
  • Garrett Crochet<1%
  • Riley Greene<1%
  • Jacob Wilson<1%
  • Jackson Holliday<1%
  • Maikel García<1%
  • Josh Naylor<1%
  • Mike Trout<1%
  • Jose Altuve<1%
  • Steven Kwan<1%
  • Yandy Diaz<1%
  • Jazz Chisholm Jr.<1%
  • George Springer<1%
  • Jarren Duran<1%
  • Ben Rice<1%
  • Randy Arozarena<1%
  • Trevor Story<1%
  • Daulton Varsho<1%
  • Brent Rooker<1%
  • Colson Montgomery<1%
  • Tie/Co-Winners<1%
  • Shea Langeliers<1%
  • Munetaka Murakami<1%
  • Dillon Dingler<1%
  • Miguel Vargas<1%
  • Ceddanne Rafaela<1%
  • Cam Schlittler<1%

How the odds have moved

Yordan Álvarez: 96% on Oct 20, 99% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Yordan Álvarez 99% 99¢ $1.01 647.5K
Aaron Judge <1% 1¢ $100.00 272.7K
Bobby Witt Jr. <1% 1¢ $100.00 506.8K
Cal Raleigh <1% 1¢ $100.00 23.5K
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. <1% 1¢ $100.00 46.3K
Gunnar Henderson <1% 1¢ $100.00 60.9K
Julio Rodríguez <1% 1¢ $100.00 267.3K
Nick Kurtz <1% 1¢ $100.00 372.1K
José Ramírez <1% 1¢ $100.00 205.6K
Roman Anthony <1% 1¢ $100.00 128.5K
Junior Caminero <1% 1¢ $100.00 804.7K
Pete Alonso <1% 1¢ $100.00 68.2K
Jeremy Peña <1% 1¢ $100.00 1.2K
Corey Seager <1% 1¢ $100.00 12.6K
Carlos Correa <1% 1¢ $100.00 470
Cody Bellinger <1% 1¢ $100.00 129.4K
Zach Neto <1% 1¢ $100.00 10.7K
Wyatt Langford <1% 1¢ $100.00 53.0K
Byron Buxton <1% 1¢ $100.00 132.1K
Alejandro Kirk <1% 1¢ $100.00 54.00
Adley Rutschman <1% 1¢ $100.00 58.9K
Jo Adell <1% 1¢ $100.00 6.0K
Tarik Skubal <1% 1¢ $100.00 43.5K
Garrett Crochet <1% 1¢ $100.00 2.5K
Riley Greene <1% 1¢ $100.00 5.7K
Jacob Wilson <1% 1¢ $100.00 816
Jackson Holliday <1% 1¢ $100.00 2.5K
Maikel García <1% 1¢ $100.00 41.4K
Josh Naylor <1% 1¢ $100.00 2.7K
Mike Trout <1% 1¢ $100.00 220.9K
Jose Altuve <1% 1¢ $100.00 9.4K
Steven Kwan <1% 1¢ $100.00 989
Yandy Diaz <1% 1¢ $100.00 27.1K
Jazz Chisholm Jr. <1% 1¢ $100.00 1.1K
George Springer <1% 1¢ $100.00 4.00
Jarren Duran <1% 1¢ $100.00 26.0K
Ben Rice <1% 1¢ $100.00 503.3K
Randy Arozarena <1% 1¢ $100.00 3.9K
Trevor Story <1% 1¢ $100.00 244
Daulton Varsho <1% 1¢ $100.00 234
Brent Rooker <1% 1¢ $100.00 1.2K
Colson Montgomery <1% 1¢ $100.00 16.5K
Tie/Co-Winners <1% 1¢ $100.00 4.6K
Shea Langeliers <1% 1¢ $100.00 43.7K
Munetaka Murakami <1% 1¢ $100.00 15.1K
Dillon Dingler <1% 1¢ $100.00 227.6K
Miguel Vargas <1% 1¢ $100.00 73.6K
Ceddanne Rafaela <1% 1¢ $100.00 40.2K
Cam Schlittler <1% 1¢ $100.00 407.0K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: MVP, AL MVP, Yordan Álvarez

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Baseball. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Baseball, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Baseball index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Baseball Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions